Close to the swirling depths of a huge alien world, a new moon may be on the rise.
This week, astronomers released tantalizing early results that a humongous moon the size of Neptune orbits a giant planet roughly 4,000 light-years away.
If confirmed, the discovery would be huge. The bizarrely massive moon would be the first detected in orbit around an alien world, marking a new chapter in astronomersâ study of the cosmos.
However, finding a moon at such vast distances is no easy feat, and as is often the case with far-off planet finds, the team needs to collect more data to verify its existence. The astronomers have scheduled time to train the Hubble Space Telescope on the planetâs home star in October 2017 to see if the signal holds up.
âThis candidate is intriguing, and we obviously feel good enough about it that we've asked for Hubble time,â coauthor Alex Teachey, a graduate student at Columbia University, says in an email. âBut we want to be crystal clear that we are not claiming a detection at this point.â
ANOTHER COUP FOR KEPLER?
If the results bear fruit, the moon would be the latest in a remarkable string of discoveries for Kepler. Launched in 2009, the space-based observatory has found more than 2,000 alien worlds and about 4,000 candidate planets, and astronomers are not yet done mining its riches. In June, astronomers using Kepler data identified 219 more candidates alien planets, including some that may be habitable like Earth.
Kepler works by detecting when these distant planets pass in front of their home stars from Earthâs point of view. This transit momentarily blocks a fraction of the starâs light, causing a periodic dip in apparent brightness.
Detecting a moon orbiting a planet using this same technique is extremely difficult. Moons are even smaller than their planets, which means that their transits donât block much starlight. In addition, astronomers must painstakingly tease apart the signals from moon and the planet itâs orbiting.
But these challenges havenât stopped scientists from trying to find alien moons, some of which might be habitable, Ã la Pandora from Avatar or the moons of Endor in Star Wars. Since 2012, Columbia University astronomer and study coauthor David Kipping has spearheaded the Hunt for Exomoons with Kepler (HEK), an effort to comb through Kepler data for hints of moons.
The researchersâ new paper, published on the preprint service arXiv, focuses on 284 Kepler planets deemed the likeliest to bear moon systems resembling Jupiterâs. The team then statistically stacked these planetsâ transit data, hoping to see smears that moons would leave in the collective signal.
Some of the planets are Jupiter-size but are snuggled close to their stars. Astronomers think these so-called hot Jupiters formed in the chillier outskirts of their star systems but then migrated inwardâraising questions about what would happen to their moons.
âTheyâre looking at planets that are much closer to their suns than Jupiter is to our own,â says Leiden Observatory astronomer Matthew Kenworthy, who wasnât involved with the study. âSo the question is, during this process of migration, do big fat gas giants lose their moons?â
According to the latest data, these Kepler planets arenât teeming with moons. At most, the researchers say, no more than 108 of the 284 studied worlds could have them. This constraint suggests that many Jupiter-like planets do shed their moons if they migrate.
Hoping for Hubble
But when researchers applied quick-and-dirty moon models to the 284 individual planets, they also uncovered a compelling signal from Kepler-1625b. Additional bumps in the data suggested a smaller, Neptune-size body was orbiting the planet.
Under certain assumptions, thereâs at most a 1-in-24,000 chance that these fluctuations are a fluke. While that may be sound convincing, it merely qualifies as evidence in the realm of astrophysics. The October Hubble observations will make or break the case for the moon.
Coauthor Teachey says that if he were a gambling man, heâd be willing to bet a bottle of wineâbut not his carâon the moonâs existence. But Teachey, by his own admission, isnât a scientific gambler, and neither are the other astronomers contacted for this story.
âIf itâs true, itâd be awesome,â says Kenworthy. âBut right now, and [the study authors] say this very clearly, itâs tantalizing. Itâs not a detection.â
MIT planetary scientist Sara Seager, a world authority on planets beyond our solar system, agrees.
âAny time the word âcandidateâ is in the [study] title, it is just that, a candidate,â she says in an email. âI am definitely looking forward to the Hubble Space Telescope observations in 2017 to see if anything is actually there.â
Nadia Drake contributed reporting.
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